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Tracking the tropics: Monitoring an area for possible development in the western Caribbean

There is potential for an area of low pressure to form in the western Caribbean over the next several days. This is something we will watch for next week.
Credit: 10 Tampa Bay
There is a 50% (medium) chance for development in the next seven days.

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — As we start rebuilding as a community from Hurricane Helene, we are watching the western Caribbean Sea for potential tropical development in the coming days. 

An area of low pressure is expected to form with the National Hurricane Center giving this disturbance a medium 50% chance of formation over the next week. 

There is a chance that this disturbance could organize further into a tropical depression as it enters an environment conducive for gradual development. 

If it does form, it will likely move northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico during the later half of next week. 

We will be tracking this one closely and provide updates every step of the way. 

Historically, by late September to October, the formation zones of tropical systems favor the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. 

Credit: 10 Tampa Bay
Credit: 10 Tampa Bay

Outside of this disturbance, Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce remain in the middle of the Atlantic posing no threat to us. There is another disturbance in the eastern Atlantic that has a higher potential of development over the course of a week but it remains far from the continental United States at this time. 

The next name on the Atlantic hurricane season storm list is Kirk. 

Credit: 10 Tampa Bay

For more weather updates and information, download the free 10 Tampa Bay app to your device. 

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