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Tracking the Tropics: Tropical trouble moves north into the Gulf of Mexico next week

We're keeping a close eye on the Caribbean Sea. A tropical cyclone is looking likely next week in the Gulf of Mexico. Keep checking in with us.

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — There are three areas we are monitoring for the possibility of tropical development

The one area we are watching very closely is the Caribbean Sea with an area of increasing thunderstorms likely to develop and organize over very warm tropical water, low wind shear and enhanced uplift in the upper atmosphere. 

We could see development in the Caribbean that pushes into the Gulf by late Monday. The models are not in agreement on the track or intensity since the low pressure has not organized yet. The models do agree we will have a tropical cyclone in the Gulf next week so make sure to stay prepared and keep checking back with our weather team to stay informed, prepared and connected. 

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